Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000088 0.000098 0.000108 0.000119 0.000132 0.000146 0.000162
2026-01-04 0.000075 0.000088 0.000102 0.000120 0.000141 0.000165 0.000194
2026-01-11 0.000065 0.000080 0.000097 0.000120 0.000148 0.000181 0.000225
2026-01-18 0.000057 0.000073 0.000092 0.000119 0.000153 0.000197 0.000256
2026-01-25 0.000050 0.000067 0.000088 0.000118 0.000158 0.000212 0.000287
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000062 0.000085 0.000118 0.000164 0.000227 0.000321
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000058 0.000081 0.000116 0.000167 0.000240 0.000351
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000054 0.000078 0.000115 0.000171 0.000253 0.000384
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000051 0.000076 0.000116 0.000177 0.000269 0.000420
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000048 0.000073 0.000114 0.000179 0.000281 0.000452
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000046 0.000072 0.000116 0.000186 0.000299 0.000496
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000044 0.000071 0.000116 0.000191 0.000315 0.000536
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000042 0.000069 0.000115 0.000195 0.000328 0.000575
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000041 0.000068 0.000116 0.000202 0.000350 0.000630
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000067 0.000117 0.000208 0.000368 0.000680
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000037 0.000065 0.000116 0.000212 0.000384 0.000728
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000116 0.000215 0.000399 0.000776
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000034 0.000062 0.000116 0.000220 0.000417 0.000830
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000114 0.000221 0.000428 0.000873
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000031 0.000059 0.000113 0.000224 0.000443 0.000925
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000114 0.000229 0.000462 0.000985
2026-05-24 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000112 0.000231 0.000475 0.001034
2026-05-31 0.000014 0.000028 0.000056 0.000114 0.000238 0.000498 0.001110